League of Legends

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming Prediction

May 24, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects EDward Gaming 1 - Ninjas in Pyjamas 3. Ninjas in Pyjamas is favored with a 72.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).

EDward Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LPL
Ninjas in Pyjamas
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
27.9%
72.1%
EDward GamingNinjas in Pyjamas
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALEDward Gaming 1 — Ninjas in Pyjamas 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.5% (10,304 games)

Team Profiles

Ninjas in Pyjamas
Early
51%
Mid
48%
Late
47%
Elo: 1581 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 16-21 (43%)
EDward Gaming
Early
62%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1524 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-4 (50%)

Score Distribution

Ninjas in Pyjamas winsEDward Gaming wins
0-3
4.3%
1-3
10.4%
2-3
13.2%
3-0
23.3%
3-1
26.1%
3-2
22.7%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -1.3%Draft -0.4%Phase +0.3%Context -0.2%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Ninjas in Pyjamas
-460
Edge: -12.2%
EDward Gaming
+305
Edge: +13.0%
🎯 Projection: EDward Gaming ML @ +305 · Edge +13.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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