TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Esprit Shōnen 0 - TLN Pirates 2. TLN Pirates is favored with a 72.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Esprit Shōnen
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LFL
TLN Pirates
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Esprit ShōnenTLN Pirates
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.2% (7,605 games)
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Elo: 1775 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Esprit Shōnen
Elo: 1534 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-7 (42%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsEsprit Shōnen wins
0-2
11.7%
1-2
15.6%
2-0
41.1%
2-1
31.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -1.1%Draft +0.1%Phase +1.0%Context +1.3%
Key Factors
- TLN Pirates holds a significant Elo advantage (241 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.30
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →