League of Legends

Karmine Corp Blue vs Esprit Shonen Prediction

July 22, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Karmine Corp Blue vs Esprit Shonen prediction for July 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Esprit Shonen 0 - Karmine Corp Blue 1. Karmine Corp Blue is favored with a 78.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).

Esprit Shonen
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • LFL
Karmine Corp Blue
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
21.5%
78.5%
Esprit ShonenKarmine Corp Blue
1-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALEsprit Shonen 0 — Karmine Corp Blue 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.0% (11,651 games)

Team Profiles

Karmine Corp Blue
Early
58%
Mid
56%
Late
56%
Elo: 1821 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 13-6 (68%)
Esprit Shonen
Elo: 1384 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-9 (31%)

Score Distribution

Karmine Corp Blue winsEsprit Shonen wins
0-1
27.6%
1-0
72.4%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft -0.2%Phase +2.0%Context +1.2%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Karmine Corp Blue
-632
Edge: -9.1%
Esprit Shonen
+399
Edge: +7.4%
🎯 Projection: Esprit Shonen ML @ +399 · Edge +7.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.34
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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