League of Legends

Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy Prediction

May 26, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy prediction for May 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects paiN Gaming Academy 0 - Estral Esports 3. Estral Esports is favored with a 86.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

paiN Gaming Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • CD
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
13.1%
86.9%
paiN Gaming AcademyEstral Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALpaiN Gaming Academy 3 — Estral Esports 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.5% (10,627 games)

Team Profiles

Estral Esports
Early
44%
Mid
61%
Late
69%
Elo: 1627 · Record: 23-2 (92%)
paiN Gaming Academy
Early
30%
Mid
55%
Late
59%
Elo: 1395 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 16-7 (70%)

Score Distribution

Estral Esports winspaiN Gaming Academy wins
0-3
1.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-3
6.6%
3-0
36.2%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
20.0%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.1%Draft +0.4%Phase +0.3%Context +0.4%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Estral Esports
-1823
Edge: -8.4%
paiN Gaming Academy
+440
Edge: -29.1%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.30
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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