Estral Esports vs RED Academy prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects RED Academy 0 - Estral Esports 3. Estral Esports is favored with a 82.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
RED Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • CD
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
RED AcademyEstral Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.6% (9,570 games)
Team Profiles
Estral Esports
Early
44%
Mid
61%
Late
69%
Elo: 1608 · Record: 23-2 (92%)
RED Academy
Elo: 1466
Score Distribution
Estral Esports winsRED Academy wins
0-3
2.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-3
8.7%
3-0
31.2%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
21.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.9%Draft +0.5%Phase -0.6%Context +0.4%
Key Factors
- Estral Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (141 pts)
Market Odds
Estral Esports
-3598
Edge: -15.4%
RED Academy
+532
Edge: +12.0%
🎯 Projection: RED Academy ML @ +532 · Edge +12.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →