LYON Academy vs Fuego prediction for July 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Fuego 2 - LYON Academy 0. Fuego is favored with a 83.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Fuego
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LRN
LYON Academy
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
FuegoLYON Academy
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.3% (10,551 games)
Team Profiles
LYON Academy
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1305 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Fuego
Elo: 1952 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-1 (91%)
Score Distribution
LYON Academy winsFuego wins
0-2
62.6%
1-2
21.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-1
12.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.9%Draft -0.1%Phase -2.1%Context +0.1%
Key Factors
- Fuego holds a significant Elo advantage (647 pts)
- Fuego's early_aggro style creates a favorable matchup
- Fuego is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
LYON Academy
+598
Edge: +12.7%
Fuego
-1155
Edge: -8.9%
🎯 Projection: LYON Academy ML @ +598 · Edge +12.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.50
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →