League of Legends

Keyd Stars vs Furia Esports Prediction

August 1, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Keyd Stars vs Furia Esports prediction for August 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Furia Esports 2 - Keyd Stars 0. Furia Esports is favored with a 62.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Furia Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • CBLOL
Keyd Stars
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
62.5%
37.5%
Furia EsportsKeyd Stars
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.0% (13,813 games)
FINALFuria Esports 1 — Keyd Stars 0
Projected
Furia Esports 2 — Keyd Stars 0
Actual
Furia Esports 1 — Keyd Stars 0

Team Profiles

Keyd Stars
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1434 · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Furia Esports
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1439 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)

Score Distribution

Keyd Stars winsFuria Esports wins
0-2
30.8%
1-2
26.7%
2-0
17.4%
2-1
25.2%

Advantage Breakdown

🔒
Model Advantages
Available to premium members
Unlock

Key Factors

🔒
Matchup Intelligence
Available to premium members
Unlock

Market Odds

Keyd Stars
-10000
Furia Esports
+2800
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

🔒
Edge Analysis
Available to premium members
Unlock
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks

Free picks in your inbox every morning

The same free projections published here — Monte Carlo simulated, Kelly sized, delivered daily. Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime.