League of Legends

Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports Prediction

May 23, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports prediction for May 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects G2 Esports 3 - Karmine Corp 1. G2 Esports is favored with a 57.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).

G2 Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LEC
Karmine Corp
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
57.9%
42.1%
G2 EsportsKarmine Corp
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALG2 Esports 3 — Karmine Corp 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.2% (10,304 games)

Team Profiles

Karmine Corp
Early
55%
Mid
57%
Late
62%
Elo: 1764 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 56-17 (77%)
G2 Esports
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
58%
Elo: 1818 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 60-29 (67%)

Score Distribution

Karmine Corp winsG2 Esports wins
0-3
11.3%
1-3
29.3%
2-3
17.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
24.5%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -1.6%Draft -0.6%Phase +0.6%Context -1.5%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Karmine Corp
+230
Edge: +38.8%
G2 Esports
-325
Edge: -24.3%
🎯 Projection: Karmine Corp ML @ +230 · Edge +38.8%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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