League of Legends

Movistar KOI vs GIANTX Prediction

May 15, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Movistar KOI vs GIANTX prediction for May 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects GIANTX 0 - Movistar KOI 2. Movistar KOI is favored with a 70.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

GIANTX
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • EWC EMEA
Movistar KOI
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
29.4%
70.6%
GIANTXMovistar KOI
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALGIANTX 0 — Movistar KOI 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.3% (9,096 games)

Team Profiles

Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1590 · Record: 47-43 (52%)
GIANTX
Early
47%
Mid
52%
Late
54%
Elo: 1556 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 33-24 (58%)

Score Distribution

Movistar KOI winsGIANTX wins
0-2
14.0%
1-2
15.4%
2-0
36.0%
2-1
34.6%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.2%Draft -0.1%Phase -1.0%Context +0.1%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Movistar KOI
-325
Edge: -7.7%
GIANTX
+230
Edge: -3.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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