League of Legends

GOAL esports vs Team Insidious Prediction

May 5, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

GOAL esports vs Team Insidious prediction for May 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Insidious 1 - GOAL esports 0. Team Insidious is favored with a 61.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 2).

Team Insidious
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo2 • HLL
GOAL esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
61.8%
38.2%
Team InsidiousGOAL esports
0-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALTeam Insidious 0 — GOAL esports 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.5% (7,392 games)

Team Profiles

GOAL esports
Early
70%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1558 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Team Insidious
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1830 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)

Score Distribution

GOAL esports winsTeam Insidious wins
0-1
61.8%
1-0
38.2%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft -0.4%Phase -0.5%Context -0.5%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.54
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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