Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels prediction for May 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Sentinels 2 - Shopify Rebellion 0. Sentinels is favored with a 80.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Sentinels
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SentinelsShopify Rebellion
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.5% (7,392 games)
Team Profiles
Shopify Rebellion
Early
42%
Mid
46%
Late
43%
Elo: 1191 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-17 (35%)
Sentinels
Early
47%
Mid
44%
Late
41%
Elo: 1550 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-12 (29%)
Score Distribution
Shopify Rebellion winsSentinels wins
0-2
50.3%
1-2
30.2%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
12.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.6%Draft -0.1%Phase -1.4%Context -1.3%
Key Factors
- Sentinels holds a significant Elo advantage (359 pts)
- Sentinels is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Shopify Rebellion
+125
Edge: -56.1%
Sentinels
-165
Edge: +29.2%
🎯 Projection: Sentinels ML @ -165 · Edge +29.2%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →