GOAL esports vs Team Insidious prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Insidious 2 - GOAL esports 3. GOAL esports is favored with a 57.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Team Insidious
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • HLL
GOAL esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team InsidiousGOAL esports
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 43.4% (8,843 games)
Team Profiles
GOAL esports
Early
70%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1637 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Team Insidious
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1621 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
GOAL esports winsTeam Insidious wins
0-3
8.5%
1-3
16.6%
2-3
17.8%
3-0
14.8%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
21.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Phase +0.3%Context +0.5%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (16 Elo difference)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →