GOAL vs Team Insidious prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Insidious 1 - GOAL 3. GOAL is favored with a 57.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Team Insidious
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • HLL
GOAL
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team InsidiousGOAL
3-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 43.4% (8,843 games)
Team Profiles
GOAL
Early
70%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1692 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Team Insidious
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1621 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
GOAL winsTeam Insidious wins
0-3
8.9%
1-3
15.1%
2-3
18.3%
3-0
14.4%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
20.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.4%Draft +0.3%Context +0.5%
Key Factors
- GOAL has a moderate rating edge (71 Elo)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.50
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →