League of Legends

Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Prediction

August 1, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp prediction for August 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Karmine Corp 2 - Natus Vincere 0. Karmine Corp is favored with a 86.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Karmine Corp
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Unknown
Natus Vincere
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
86.5%
13.5%
Karmine CorpNatus Vincere
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.9% (13,813 games)
FINALKarmine Corp 2 — Natus Vincere 0
Projected
Karmine Corp 2 — Natus Vincere 0
Actual
Karmine Corp 2 — Natus Vincere 0

Team Profiles

Natus Vincere
Early
45%
Mid
46%
Late
47%
Elo: 1404 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Karmine Corp
Early
60%
Mid
61%
Late
61%
Elo: 1692 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)

Score Distribution

Natus Vincere winsKarmine Corp wins
0-2
58.0%
1-2
28.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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