Kits Esports vs NCG Esports prediction for July 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NCG Esports 2 - Kits Esports 0. NCG Esports is favored with a 62.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
NCG Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LRN
Kits Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NCG EsportsKits Esports
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.9% (10,176 games)
Team Profiles
Kits Esports
Elo: 1470 · Record: 0-1 (0%)
NCG Esports
Elo: 1692 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-7 (42%)
Score Distribution
Kits Esports winsNCG Esports wins
0-2
33.7%
1-2
28.5%
2-0
16.0%
2-1
21.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.1%Draft +0.2%Phase -1.6%Context -1.3%
Key Factors
- NCG Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (222 pts)
- NCG Esports is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Kits Esports
+100
Edge: -24.4%
NCG Esports
-113
Edge: +17.4%
🎯 Projection: NCG Esports ML @ -113 · Edge +17.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.87
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →