LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UB Alma Mater 0 - LUA Gaming 2. LUA Gaming is favored with a 68.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
UB Alma Mater
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
LUA Gaming
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
UB Alma MaterLUA Gaming
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.0% (9,755 games)
Team Profiles
LUA Gaming
Elo: 1244 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-3 (50%)
UB Alma Mater
Elo: 1085 · ⚔️ Teamfight
Score Distribution
LUA Gaming winsUB Alma Mater wins
0-2
14.1%
1-2
17.3%
2-0
36.6%
2-1
32.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.5%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- LUA Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (159 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →