NCG Esports vs LYON Academy prediction for July 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON Academy 0 - NCG Esports 2. NCG Esports is favored with a 82.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
LYON Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LRN
NCG Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LYON AcademyNCG Esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.0% (11,177 games)
Team Profiles
NCG Esports
Elo: 1592 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-4 (60%)
LYON Academy
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1414 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Score Distribution
NCG Esports winsLYON Academy wins
0-2
16.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
50.8%
2-1
27.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.7%Draft +0.3%Phase +0.9%Context +1.3%
Key Factors
- NCG Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (179 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.39
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →