Polar Squad vs Lyon Academy prediction for July 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Lyon Academy 2 - Polar Squad 0. Lyon Academy is favored with a 77.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Lyon Academy
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LRN
Polar Squad
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Lyon AcademyPolar Squad
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.2% (10,602 games)
Team Profiles
Polar Squad
Elo: 1097 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-10 (0%)
Lyon Academy
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1298 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Score Distribution
Polar Squad winsLyon Academy wins
0-2
55.5%
1-2
21.6%
2-0
6.7%
2-1
16.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.6%Draft -0.4%Phase -0.2%Context -0.5%
Key Factors
- Lyon Academy holds a significant Elo advantage (201 pts)
- Lyon Academy is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Polar Squad
+166
Edge: -39.5%
Lyon Academy
-208
Edge: +14.4%
🎯 Projection: Lyon Academy ML @ -208 · Edge +14.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.58
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →