League of Legends

Polar Squad Esports vs LYON Academy Prediction

July 12, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Polar Squad Esports vs LYON Academy prediction for July 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON Academy 2 - Polar Squad Esports 0. LYON Academy is favored with a 68.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

LYON Academy
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LRN
Polar Squad Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
68.5%
31.5%
LYON AcademyPolar Squad Esports
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALLYON Academy 1 — Polar Squad Esports 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.7% (10,602 games)

Team Profiles

Polar Squad Esports
Elo: 1177 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-10 (29%)
LYON Academy
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1298 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)

Score Distribution

Polar Squad Esports winsLYON Academy wins
0-2
47.1%
1-2
21.2%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
20.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.6%Draft -0.4%Phase -0.2%Context -0.5%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.62
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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