LYON vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for August 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - LYON 2. LYON is favored with a 76.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
LYON
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Shopify RebellionLYON
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.5% (12,670 games)
Projected
Shopify Rebellion 0 — LYON 2
Actual
Shopify Rebellion 0 — LYON 2
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
53%
Mid
54%
Late
55%
Elo: 1568 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
43%
Mid
44%
Late
44%
Elo: 1355 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-2
7.1%
1-2
10.7%
2-0
50.4%
2-1
31.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
LYON
-700
Shopify Rebellion
+425
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.