LYON vs Team Liquid prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Liquid 2 - LYON 3. LYON is favored with a 54.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Team Liquid
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCS
LYON
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team LiquidLYON
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (10,401 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
57%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1641 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 24-23 (51%)
Team Liquid
Early
47%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1641 · Record: 25-28 (47%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsTeam Liquid wins
0-3
9.2%
1-3
18.5%
2-3
18.2%
3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
21.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.1%Phase +1.2%Context +0.7%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (0 Elo difference)
- LYON leads the H2H record 3-1
Market Odds
LYON
-175
Edge: -15.0%
Team Liquid
+135
Edge: +7.9%
🎯 Projection: Team Liquid ML @ +135 · Edge +7.9%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →