LYON vs Team Liquid prediction for August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Liquid 1 - LYON 2. LYON is favored with a 51.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Team Liquid
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
LYON
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team LiquidLYON
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.0% (18,453 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1572 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Team Liquid
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
56%
Elo: 1585 · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsTeam Liquid wins
0-2
24.3%
1-2
24.6%
2-0
24.0%
2-1
27.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
LYON
-122
Team Liquid
+133
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.