League of Legends

Malvinas Gaming vs The New Kings Prediction

May 12, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Malvinas Gaming vs The New Kings prediction for May 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects The New Kings 0 - Malvinas Gaming 3. Malvinas Gaming is favored with a 90.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

The New Kings
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LRS
Malvinas Gaming
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
9.9%
90.1%
The New KingsMalvinas Gaming
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALThe New Kings 0 — Malvinas Gaming 3
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 83.5% (8,557 games)

Team Profiles

Malvinas Gaming
Early
70%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1766 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 23-0 (100%)
The New Kings
Early
61%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1382 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 11-12 (48%)

Score Distribution

Malvinas Gaming winsThe New Kings wins
0-3
1.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-0
41.4%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
18.0%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.2%Draft +0.2%Phase +2.5%Context -0.6%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.37
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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