UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for May 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 0 - UCAM Esports Club 2. UCAM Esports Club is favored with a 59.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI Fénix
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
UCAM Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixUCAM Esports Club
2-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (9,882 games)
Team Profiles
UCAM Esports Club
Early
53%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1607 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-10 (33%)
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
33%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1579 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-4 (33%)
Score Distribution
UCAM Esports Club winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-2
19.0%
1-2
21.6%
2-0
29.8%
2-1
29.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.1%Phase +0.3%Context -0.2%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (28 Elo difference)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.35
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →