Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UCAM Esports Club 2 - Movistar KOI Fénix 3. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 57.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
UCAM Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LES
Movistar KOI Fénix
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
UCAM Esports ClubMovistar KOI Fénix
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.5% (11,674 games)
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
33%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1613 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 2-4 (33%)
UCAM Esports Club
Early
53%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1565 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-10 (33%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI Fénix winsUCAM Esports Club wins
0-3
8.8%
1-3
16.8%
2-3
17.2%
3-0
14.4%
3-1
20.6%
3-2
22.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.1%Phase +0.1%Context +0.8%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (48 Elo difference)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.38
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →