Natus Vincere vs Movistar Koi prediction for August 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar Koi 2 - Natus Vincere 0. Movistar Koi is favored with a 63.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Movistar Koi
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Natus Vincere
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KoiNatus Vincere
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.5% (16,862 games)
Team Profiles
Natus Vincere
Early
46%
Mid
47%
Late
47%
Elo: 1411 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Movistar Koi
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500 · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Score Distribution
Natus Vincere winsMovistar Koi wins
0-2
34.5%
1-2
28.5%
2-0
15.7%
2-1
21.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Natus Vincere
+969
Movistar Koi
-2500
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.25
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.