Movistar KOI vs Shifters prediction for May 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shifters 1 - Movistar KOI 3. Movistar KOI is favored with a 72.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Shifters
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Movistar KOI
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ShiftersMovistar KOI
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.6% (7,265 games)
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1571 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 47-43 (52%)
Shifters
Early
55%
Mid
49%
Late
48%
Elo: 1372 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-6 (45%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI winsShifters wins
0-3
4.4%
1-3
10.7%
2-3
12.7%
3-0
22.8%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
23.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.6%Draft +0.4%Phase -0.1%Context +0.4%
Key Factors
- Movistar KOI holds a significant Elo advantage (199 pts)
Market Odds
Movistar KOI
-425
Edge: -10.8%
Shifters
+285
Edge: +7.0%
🎯 Projection: Shifters ML @ +285 · Edge +7.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →