Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 2 - Team Vitality 3. Team Vitality is favored with a 60.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Movistar KOI
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LEC
Team Vitality
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOITeam Vitality
3-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (10,401 games)
Team Profiles
Team Vitality
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
49%
Elo: 1644 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 33-35 (49%)
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1607 · Record: 47-43 (52%)
Score Distribution
Team Vitality winsMovistar KOI wins
0-3
7.3%
1-3
16.7%
2-3
15.8%
3-0
16.4%
3-1
20.4%
3-2
23.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.7%Draft +0.3%Phase +1.2%Context +0.7%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (37 Elo difference)
- Team Vitality leads the H2H record 6-4
Market Odds
Team Vitality
+115
Edge: +29.4%
Movistar KOI
-150
Edge: -33.6%
🎯 Projection: Team Vitality ML @ +115 · Edge +29.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →