Natus Vincere vs Vitality prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality 2 - Natus Vincere 0. Vitality is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Vitality
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Natus Vincere
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
VitalityNatus Vincere
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.6% (17,552 games)
Projected
Vitality 2 — Natus Vincere 0
Actual
Vitality 1 — Natus Vincere 0
Team Profiles
Natus Vincere
Early
45%
Mid
46%
Late
47%
Elo: 1404 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Vitality
Early
51%
Mid
52%
Late
53%
Elo: 1521 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
Natus Vincere winsVitality wins
0-2
44.7%
1-2
30.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
15.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Natus Vincere
+120
Vitality
-135
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.25
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.