NCG vs Polar Squad prediction for July 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Polar Squad 0 - NCG 2. NCG is favored with a 78.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Polar Squad
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LATAM
NCG
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Polar SquadNCG
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.1% (10,551 games)
Team Profiles
NCG
Elo: 1500 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 6-7 (46%)
Polar Squad
Elo: 1106 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-10 (0%)
Score Distribution
NCG winsPolar Squad wins
0-2
9.0%
1-2
12.6%
2-0
46.4%
2-1
32.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Context +2.0%
Key Factors
- NCG holds a significant Elo advantage (394 pts)
Market Odds
NCG
-371
Edge: -0.4%
Polar Squad
+268
Edge: -20.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.67
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →