NRG vs Supernova prediction for April 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Supernova 0 - NRG 2. NRG is favored with a 81.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Supernova
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
NRG
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SupernovaNRG
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.0% (5,109 games)
Team Profiles
NRG
Early
69%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1970 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 16-0 (100%)
Supernova
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1594 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
NRG winsSupernova wins
0-2
13.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-0
52.4%
2-1
29.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Phase +0.6%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- NRG holds a significant Elo advantage (376 pts)
- NRG is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
NRG
-206
Edge: +20.6%
Supernova
+148
Edge: -53.3%
🎯 Projection: NRG ML @ -206 · Edge +20.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.43
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →