Shifters vs Movistar KOI prediction for May 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 2 - Shifters 0. Movistar KOI is favored with a 71.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Shifters
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOIShifters
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.6% (7,265 games)
Team Profiles
Shifters
Early
55%
Mid
49%
Late
48%
Elo: 1372 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-6 (45%)
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1571 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 47-43 (52%)
Score Distribution
Shifters winsMovistar KOI wins
0-2
41.7%
1-2
30.1%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
17.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.6%Draft -0.4%Phase +0.1%Context -0.4%
Key Factors
- Movistar KOI holds a significant Elo advantage (199 pts)
Market Odds
Shifters
+325
Edge: +19.8%
Movistar KOI
-500
Edge: -13.8%
🎯 Projection: Shifters ML @ +325 · Edge +19.8%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →