Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for August 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - Team Liquid 2. Team Liquid is favored with a 68.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
Team Liquid
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Shopify RebellionTeam Liquid
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.4% (18,304 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1579 · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
44%
Mid
45%
Late
45%
Elo: 1371 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-2
9.5%
1-2
10.1%
2-0
49.3%
2-1
31.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Liquid
-809
Shopify Rebellion
+733
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.