Heretics Academy vs UCAM prediction for July 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UCAM 1 - Heretics Academy 2. Heretics Academy is favored with a 57.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
UCAM
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA
Heretics Academy
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
UCAMHeretics Academy
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.4% (10,752 games)
Team Profiles
Heretics Academy
Elo: 1886 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-8 (56%)
UCAM
Elo: 1791 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Score Distribution
Heretics Academy winsUCAM wins
0-2
20.1%
1-2
22.7%
2-0
28.3%
2-1
28.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.6%Draft -0.2%Phase -0.1%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- Heretics Academy has a moderate rating edge (95 Elo)
Market Odds
Heretics Academy
+135
Edge: +34.3%
UCAM
-181
Edge: -33.5%
🎯 Projection: Heretics Academy ML @ +135 · Edge +34.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.31
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →