League of Legends

Team Heretics vs GIANTX Prediction

April 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Heretics vs GIANTX prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects GIANTX 3 - Team Heretics 1. GIANTX is favored with a 82.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).

GIANTX
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
Team Heretics
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
82.6%
17.4%
GIANTXTeam Heretics
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALGIANTX 1 — Team Heretics 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.5% (6,458 games)

Team Profiles

Team Heretics
Early
39%
Mid
47%
Late
45%
Elo: 1353 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 26-41 (39%)
GIANTX
Early
47%
Mid
52%
Late
54%
Elo: 1558 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 33-24 (58%)

Score Distribution

Team Heretics winsGIANTX wins
0-3
30.8%
1-3
32.1%
2-3
19.7%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
9.2%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.4%Draft -0.2%Phase -1.4%Context -2.5%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Team Heretics
+400
Edge: -13.1%
GIANTX
-650
Edge: -4.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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