League of Legends

Team Liquid vs Disguised Prediction

April 29, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Liquid vs Disguised prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Disguised 0 - Team Liquid 2. Team Liquid is favored with a 82.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Disguised
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCS
Team Liquid
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
17.9%
82.1%
DisguisedTeam Liquid
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALDisguised 0 — Team Liquid 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (6,272 games)

Team Profiles

Team Liquid
Early
47%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1693 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 25-28 (47%)
Disguised
Early
54%
Mid
42%
Late
37%
Elo: 1437 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-22 (21%)

Score Distribution

Team Liquid winsDisguised wins
0-2
7.5%
1-2
10.4%
2-0
50.7%
2-1
31.5%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +1.2%Draft -0.3%Phase +0.1%Context +2.7%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Team Liquid
-1100
Edge: -10.4%
Disguised
+600
Edge: +25.1%
🎯 Projection: Disguised ML @ +600 · Edge +25.1%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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