TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee prediction for May 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality.Bee 1 - TLN Pirates 2. TLN Pirates is favored with a 55.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Vitality.Bee
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LFL
TLN Pirates
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Vitality.BeeTLN Pirates
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (9,882 games)
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Elo: 1765 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Vitality.Bee
Elo: 1783 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsVitality.Bee wins
0-2
20.9%
1-2
23.2%
2-0
27.3%
2-1
28.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.3%Draft -0.1%Context +0.2%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (18 Elo difference)
Market Odds
TLN Pirates
-230
Edge: -19.8%
Vitality.Bee
+175
Edge: +21.4%
🎯 Projection: Vitality.Bee ML @ +175 · Edge +21.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →