UB Alma Mater vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 2 - UB Alma Mater 0. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 77.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI Fénix
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
UB Alma Mater
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixUB Alma Mater
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.0% (6,458 games)
Team Profiles
UB Alma Mater
Elo: 1113 · ⚔️ Teamfight
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
40%
Mid
42%
Late
37%
Elo: 1482 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-4 (20%)
Score Distribution
UB Alma Mater winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-2
47.3%
1-2
30.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
14.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -1.1%Phase -0.6%Context -1.6%
Key Factors
- Movistar KOI Fénix holds a significant Elo advantage (368 pts)
- Movistar KOI Fénix is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.49
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →