Vitality vs Movistar KOI prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 3 - Vitality 1. Movistar KOI is favored with a 52.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Movistar KOI
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Vitality
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOIVitality
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.5% (6,272 games)
Team Profiles
Vitality
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
49%
Elo: 1626 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 33-35 (49%)
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1556 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 47-43 (52%)
Score Distribution
Vitality winsMovistar KOI wins
0-3
11.5%
1-3
23.1%
2-3
18.0%
3-0
11.0%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
22.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.2%Draft +0.1%Phase +1.1%Context +1.7%
Key Factors
- Vitality has a moderate rating edge (71 Elo)
- Vitality leads the H2H record 6-3
Market Odds
Vitality
+200
Edge: +42.2%
Movistar KOI
-275
Edge: -28.3%
🎯 Projection: Vitality ML @ +200 · Edge +42.2%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.19
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →