COL vs OAK prediction for June 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects OAK 5.3 - COL 4.0. OAK is favored with a 62.1% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 13.5. Model projects 9.3 total runs.
OAK
5.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 13.5
COL
4.0
Projected Score
Win Probability
OAKCOL
-1.5
Run Line (OAK)
13.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.0% (2,331 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
COL
246
OAK
357
Projected
OAK 5.3 — COL 4.0
Actual
OAK 9 — COL 23
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Tomoyuki Sugano R
COL
FF22%92 mph14% whiff
FS20%87 mph28% whiff
SI18%92 mph2% whiff
Jeffrey Springs L
OAK
FF43%91 mph11% whiff
SL26%84 mph21% whiff
CH22%79 mph39% whiff
Weather Impact
Oakland Coliseum
68°F9 mph wind
HR: 1.009 Total: 1.004
neutral
Bullpen Comparison
COL
5.46ERA
4.57FIP
8.24K/9
4.31BB/9
1.55WHIP
OAK
4.47ERA
3.77FIP
9.89K/9
4.17BB/9
1.40WHIP
Betting Edges
TOTAL OVER 13.5
-65.0% EV
-118
TOTAL UNDER 13.5
+59.0% EV
-104
RUN_LINE AWAY +1.5
-42.2% EV
-114
F5 UNDER 7.5
+35.7% EV
+102
F5_ML AWAY
-15.5% EV
+148
NRFI NRFI
+15.1% EV
+168
First 5 Innings & NRFI
COL F5
2.1 runs
29.0% win
OAK F5
3.4 runs
59.1% win
F5 Total
5.5
NRFI
47.8%
YRFI
52.2%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
1.21
HR Spotlight
Avg HRs
3.0
Over 0.5 HR
95%
Over 1.5 HR
79%
No HR
5%
Hunter Goodman COL30.0%
ISO: 0.222 | Barrel: 15.2% | vs Jeffrey Springs | Park: 0.94x Platoon: 1.12x
Nick Kurtz OAK30.0%
ISO: 0.275 | Barrel: 14.3% | vs Tomoyuki Sugano | Park: 0.94x Platoon: 1.12x
Max Muncy OAK30.0%
ISO: 0.270 | Barrel: 15.4% | vs Tomoyuki Sugano | Park: 0.94x
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
Tomoyuki Sugano
0.0 K projected
COL | K/9: 0.0
Jeffrey Springs
0.0 K projected
OAK | K/9: 0.0
Injury Report
COL8 injured
Jake McCarthy CFDAY-TO-DAY
Sean Sullivan SPDAY-TO-DAY
Chase Dollander SP60-DAY-IL
Brenton Doyle CF10-DAY-IL
Jordan Beck LF10-DAY-IL
Mickey Moniak LF10-DAY-IL
+2 more
OAK6 injured
Aaron Civale SP15-DAY-IL
Brent Rooker DH10-DAY-IL
Luis Severino SP15-DAY-IL
Brooks Kriske RP60-DAY-IL
Denzel Clarke CF60-DAY-IL
Gunnar Hoglund SP60-DAY-IL
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
OAK 62.1%
-4.0 pts
Run Line
-1.5
-4.0 pts
Total
13.5
+59.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →