Who is predicted to win DET vs CWS on May 29, 2026?

Based on 10,000 Pitch Sim v5.3 Monte Carlo simulations, CWS is favored with a 59.8% win probability. The simulation's mean projected score is CWS 5.5 - DET 4.5.

How did DET vs CWS on May 29, 2026 end?

Final score: CWS 4 - DET 3. This page now shows our pre-game projection alongside the actual outcome for transparency — every Olympus Bets projection is preserved with its result.

How does Olympus Bets generate sports predictions?

Every projection is produced by a league-specific Monte Carlo simulation engine (10,000+ iterations per game), Platt-scaled and isotonic-calibrated against historical outcomes, then sized with the Kelly Criterion plus a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage. The full methodology is documented at https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology.

DET vs CWS Prediction & Picks — May 29, 2026

DET vs CWS prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CWS 5.5 - DET 4.5. CWS is favored with a 59.8% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 10.0 total runs.

CWS

5.5

Projected Score

VS O/U 8.5

DET

4.5

Projected Score

Win Probability

59.8%

40.2%

CWSDET

+1.5

Run Line (CWS)

8.5

Total Line

10,000

Simulations

☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.3% (2,300 games)

Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile

DET

346

CWS

467

Projected

CWS 5.5 — DET 4.5

Actual

CWS 4 — DET 3

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Troy Melton R

DET

FF45%97 mph25% whiff

SL21%86 mph26% whiff

SI11%96 mph11% whiff

Erick Fedde R

CWS

ST37%82 mph22% whiff

SI28%94 mph4% whiff

FC23%90 mph12% whiff

Weather Impact

Guaranteed Rate Field

70°F6 mph wind

HR: 1.060 Total: 1.033

6mph out

Bullpen Comparison

DET

4.40ERA

4.25FIP

9.02K/9

4.41BB/9

1.41WHIP

CWS

5.20ERA

5.03FIP

8.80K/9

5.16BB/9

1.47WHIP

Betting Edges

RUN_LINE HOME +1.5

-24.5% EV

-182

RUN_LINE AWAY -1.5

-23.8% EV

+150

F5_ML AWAY

-19.7% EV

-120

ML AWAY

-18.9% EV

-108

TOTAL UNDER 8.5

-16.6% EV

-104

ML HOME

+11.9% EV

-108

First 5 Innings & NRFI

DET F5

2.5 runs

35.9% win

CWS F5

3.2 runs

51.1% win

F5 Total

5.7

NRFI

52.1%

YRFI

47.9%

Avg 1st Inn Runs

1.05

HR Spotlight

Avg HRs

2.6

Over 0.5 HR

92%

Over 1.5 HR

73%

No HR

Dillon Dingler DET30.0%

ISO: 0.229 | Barrel: 13.1% | vs Erick Fedde | Park: 1.01x

Munetaka Murakami CWS30.0%

ISO: 0.336 | Barrel: 18.0% | vs Troy Melton | Park: 1.01x Platoon: 1.12x

Drew Romo CWS30.0%

ISO: 0.304 | Barrel: 17.8% | vs Troy Melton | Park: 1.01x Platoon: 1.12x

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Troy Melton

0.0 K projected

DET | K/9: 0.0

Erick Fedde

0.0 K projected

CWS | K/9: 0.0

Injury Report

DET8 injured

Kenley Jansen RP15-DAY-IL

Tarik Skubal SP15-DAY-IL

Casey Mize SPDAY-TO-DAY

Gleyber Torres 2B10-DAY-IL

Kerry Carpenter RF10-DAY-IL

Justin Verlander SP60-DAY-IL

+2 more

CWSHealthy

Edge Analysis

Moneyline

CWS 59.8%

-24.5 pts

Run Line