Who is predicted to win DET vs CWS on May 31, 2026?

Based on 10,000 Pitch Sim v5.3 Monte Carlo simulations, CWS is favored with a 65.1% win probability. The simulation's mean projected score is CWS 4.9 - DET 3.6.

How did DET vs CWS on May 31, 2026 end?

Final score: CWS 2 - DET 1. This page now shows our pre-game projection alongside the actual outcome for transparency — every Olympus Bets projection is preserved with its result.

How does Olympus Bets generate sports predictions?

Every projection is produced by a league-specific Monte Carlo simulation engine (10,000+ iterations per game), Platt-scaled and isotonic-calibrated against historical outcomes, then sized with the Kelly Criterion plus a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage. The full methodology is documented at https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology.

DET vs CWS Prediction & Picks — May 31, 2026

DET vs CWS prediction for May 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CWS 4.9 - DET 3.6. CWS is favored with a 65.1% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 8.0. Model projects 8.6 total runs.

CWS

4.9

Projected Score

VS O/U 8.0

DET

3.6

Projected Score

Win Probability

65.1%

34.9%

CWSDET

-1.5

Run Line (CWS)

8.0

Total Line

10,000

Simulations

DET L4CWS

☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.9% (2,440 games)

Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile

DET

246

CWS

357

Projected

CWS 4.9 — DET 3.6

Actual

CWS 2 — DET 1

Pick Results

Drew Romo OVER 0.5 Hitsbatter_hitsLOSS-0.50u

Spencer Torkelson OVER 0.5 Hitsbatter_hitsWIN+0.36u

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Keider Montero R

DET

FF33%94 mph10% whiff

SI20%95 mph10% whiff

SL17%85 mph22% whiff

Sean Burke R

CWS

FF38%94 mph17% whiff

KC22%79 mph20% whiff

SL16%87 mph31% whiff

Weather Impact

Guaranteed Rate Field

69°F9 mph wind

HR: 1.071 Total: 1.040

9mph out

Bullpen Comparison

DET

4.40ERA

4.25FIP

9.02K/9

4.41BB/9

1.41WHIP

CWS

5.20ERA

5.03FIP

8.80K/9

5.16BB/9

1.47WHIP

Betting Edges

RUN_LINE AWAY +1.5

-49.8% EV

-196

ML AWAY

-22.5% EV

+110

F5_ML AWAY

-21.1% EV

+110

RUN_LINE HOME -1.5

+18.0% EV

+162

ML HOME

+11.6% EV

-130

TOTAL UNDER 8.0

-10.2% EV

-110

First 5 Innings & NRFI

DET F5

1.8 runs

29.6% win

CWS F5

2.8 runs

54.6% win

F5 Total

4.5

NRFI

57.1%

YRFI

42.9%

Avg 1st Inn Runs

0.85

HR Spotlight

Avg HRs

2.3

Over 0.5 HR

90%

Over 1.5 HR

67%

No HR

10%

Drew Romo CWS30.0%

ISO: 0.304 | Barrel: 17.8% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 1.01x Platoon: 1.12x

Colson Montgomery CWS30.0%

ISO: 0.241 | Barrel: 14.2% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 1.01x Platoon: 1.12x

Miguel Vargas CWS30.0%

ISO: 0.157 | Barrel: 14.0% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 1.01x

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Keider Montero

0.0 K projected

DET | K/9: 0.0

Sean Burke

0.0 K projected

CWS | K/9: 0.0

Injury Report

DET8 injured

Justin Verlander SP60-DAY-IL

Brant Hurter RP60-DAY-IL

Casey Mize SP15-DAY-IL

Kenley Jansen RP15-DAY-IL

Tarik Skubal SP15-DAY-IL

Gleyber Torres 2B10-DAY-IL

+2 more

CWSHealthy

AI Intelligence Analysis

NEUTRAL

CWS home favorite 11.6% edge with YELLOW zone (56.4% WR). Burke > Montero slightly. Moderate edge in moderate zone. However, recent calibration shows elevated caution on any edge >10%. Skip to be conservative given league ICE_COLD status.

Key Factors

Burke slight edge
11.6% edge
YELLOW zone 56.4%

Risk Factors

League ICE_COLD
Moderate zone

YELLOW ZONELEAGUE ICE COLD

Edge Analysis

Moneyline

CWS 65.1%

+18.0 pts

Run Line