LAD vs OAK prediction for June 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects OAK 6.0 - LAD 6.7. LAD is favored with a 52.8% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 10.5. Model projects 12.7 total runs.
OAK
6.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 10.5
LAD
6.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
OAKLAD
+1.5
Run Line (OAK)
10.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.3% (2,559 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
LAD
579
OAK
468
Projected
OAK 6.0 — LAD 6.7
Actual
OAK 4 — LAD 9
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Eric Lauer L
LAD
FF45%91 mph15% whiff
FC18%87 mph20% whiff
CH16%84 mph10% whiff
Gage Jump L
OAK
FF48%96 mph20% whiff
SL26%88 mph21% whiff
CU12%83 mph26% whiff
Weather Impact
Oakland Coliseum
77°F9 mph wind
HR: 0.994 Total: 0.995
6mph in
Bullpen Comparison
LAD
3.58ERA
3.45FIP
10.00K/9
3.64BB/9
1.19WHIP
OAK
4.87ERA
3.91FIP
9.81K/9
4.20BB/9
1.44WHIP
Betting Edges
RUN_LINE HOME +1.5
-33.7% EV
-156
TOTAL UNDER 10.5
-22.8% EV
-110
F5 OVER 5.5
+14.7% EV
-118
TOTAL OVER 10.5
+13.8% EV
-110
F5_ML AWAY
-9.9% EV
-102
ML HOME
-6.6% EV
-104
First 5 Innings & NRFI
LAD F5
3.6 runs
40.1% win
OAK F5
4.0 runs
49.5% win
F5 Total
7.6
NRFI
41.8%
YRFI
58.2%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
1.46
HR Spotlight
Avg HRs
3.8
Over 0.5 HR
98%
Over 1.5 HR
89%
No HR
2%
Shohei Ohtani LAD30.0%
ISO: 0.250 | Barrel: 13.9% | vs Gage Jump | Park: 0.94x
Max Muncy LAD30.0%
ISO: 0.255 | Barrel: 15.0% | vs Gage Jump | Park: 0.94x
Mookie Betts LAD30.0%
ISO: 0.191 | Barrel: 8.6% | vs Gage Jump | Park: 0.94x Platoon: 1.12x
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
Eric Lauer
0.0 K projected
LAD | K/9: 0.0
Gage Jump
0.0 K projected
OAK | K/9: 0.0
Injury Report
LAD8 injured
Will Smith C10-DAY-IL
Blake Treinen RP15-DAY-IL
Blake Snell SP60-DAY-IL
Landon Knack SP60-DAY-IL
Kendall George CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
OAK8 injured
Tyler Soderstrom LF10-DAY-IL
Jacob Wilson SS10-DAY-IL
Wei-En Lin POUT
Zack Gelof 3B10-DAY-IL
Mark Leiter Jr. RP15-DAY-IL
Brent Rooker DH10-DAY-IL
+2 more
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
LAD 52.8%
-33.7 pts
Run Line
+1.5
-33.7 pts
Total
10.5
+13.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →