Who is predicted to win MIN vs PIT on May 29, 2026?

Based on 10,000 Pitch Sim v5.3 Monte Carlo simulations, PIT is favored with a 61.9% win probability. The simulation's mean projected score is PIT 6.3 - MIN 5.1.

How did MIN vs PIT on May 29, 2026 end?

Final score: PIT 6 - MIN 5. This page now shows our pre-game projection alongside the actual outcome for transparency — every Olympus Bets projection is preserved with its result.

How does Olympus Bets generate sports predictions?

Every projection is produced by a league-specific Monte Carlo simulation engine (10,000+ iterations per game), Platt-scaled and isotonic-calibrated against historical outcomes, then sized with the Kelly Criterion plus a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage. The full methodology is documented at https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology.

MIN vs PIT Prediction & Picks — May 29, 2026

MIN vs PIT prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PIT 6.3 - MIN 5.1. PIT is favored with a 61.9% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 8.0. Model projects 11.4 total runs.

PIT

6.3

Projected Score

VS O/U 8.0

MIN

5.1

Projected Score

Win Probability

61.9%

38.1%

PITMIN

-1.5

Run Line (PIT)

8.0

Total Line

10,000

Simulations

☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.6% (2,610 games)

Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile

MIN

357

PIT

468

Projected

PIT 6.3 — MIN 5.1

Actual

PIT 6 — MIN 5

Starting Pitcher Matchup

Taj Bradley R

MIN

FF47%97 mph10% whiff

FS21%91 mph40% whiff

FC21%89 mph37% whiff

Jared Jones R

PIT

Weather Impact

PNC Park

77°F12 mph wind

HR: 0.977 Total: 0.984

thin air, 12mph in

Bullpen Comparison

MIN

4.15ERA

3.92FIP

7.91K/9

4.10BB/9

1.34WHIP

PIT

4.12ERA

4.12FIP

9.29K/9

4.35BB/9

1.36WHIP

Betting Edges

RUN_LINE AWAY +1.5

-44.0% EV

-185

TOTAL UNDER 8.0

-41.8% EV

-105

F5 OVER 4.5

+25.5% EV

+104

TOTAL OVER 8.0

+22.9% EV

-115

F5_ML AWAY

-16.9% EV

+108

ML AWAY

-15.7% EV

+114

First 5 Innings & NRFI

MIN F5

2.8 runs

33.8% win

PIT F5

3.8 runs

54.7% win

F5 Total

6.6

NRFI

45.3%

YRFI

54.7%

Avg 1st Inn Runs

1.30

HR Spotlight

Avg HRs

3.1

Over 0.5 HR

95%

Over 1.5 HR

81%

No HR

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Taj Bradley

0.0 K projected

MIN | K/9: 0.0

Jared Jones

0.0 K projected

PIT | K/9: 0.0

Injury Report

MIN8 injured

Kendry Rojas RP15-DAY-IL

Ryan Jeffers C10-DAY-IL

Garrett Acton RP60-DAY-IL

Walker Jenkins CFDAY-TO-DAY

David Festa SP60-DAY-IL

Cole Sands RP15-DAY-IL

+2 more

PIT8 injured

Nick Gonzales 3BDAY-TO-DAY

Konnor Griffin SSDAY-TO-DAY

Ryan O'Hearn RF10-DAY-IL

Chris Devenski RP15-DAY-IL

Joey Bart C10-DAY-IL

Anthony Solometo SPDAY-TO-DAY

+2 more

Edge Analysis

Moneyline

PIT 61.9%

+11.5 pts

Run Line

-1.5

+11.5 pts

Total

8.0

+22.9 pts

How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

MIN vs PIT Prediction