OAK vs TEX — September 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation has completed 10,000 iterations for this matchup. The market spread is -1.5 with a total of 7.5. Projected scores and win probabilities are shown below; the model edge, recommended pick and Kelly unit sizing are premium.
TEX
3.6
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
OAK
2.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
TEXOAK
-1.5
Run Line (TEX)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Gage Jump L
OAK
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF46%96 mph20% whiff
SL22%87 mph26% whiff
CU11%82 mph24% whiff
Jacob deGrom R
TEX
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF42%97 mph23% whiff
SL36%91 mph37% whiff
CH13%90 mph45% whiff
Weather Impact
Globe Life Field
98°F8 mph windRoof: retractable
HR: 1.047 Total: 1.023
thin air
Bullpen Comparison
OAK
5.28ERA
4.43FIP
9.65K/9
4.59BB/9
1.56WHIP
TEX
4.32ERA
4.38FIP
8.58K/9
3.79BB/9
1.34WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
OAK F5
1.5 runs
30.6% win
TEX F5
2.1 runs
48.2% win
F5 Total
3.6
NRFI
63.3%
YRFI
36.7%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.71
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
OAK8 injured
Jacob Wilson SS60-DAY-IL
Denzel Clarke CF60-DAY-IL
Shea Langeliers C10-DAY-IL
Nick Kurtz 1B60-DAY-IL
Tyler Soderstrom LF60-DAY-IL
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 3B10-DAY-IL
+2 more
TEX8 injured
Robert Garcia RP60-DAY-IL
Carter Baumler RP60-DAY-IL
Jack Leiter SP60-DAY-IL
Nathan Eovaldi SP15-DAY-IL
Kyle Higashioka C10-DAY-IL
Josh Jung 3B10-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.