SEA vs DET prediction for June 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DET 4.1 - SEA 4.9. SEA is favored with a 56.4% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 9.0. Model projects 9.0 total runs.
DET
4.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 9.0
SEA
4.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
DETSEA
+1.5
Run Line (DET)
9.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.0% (2,183 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
SEA
357
DET
246
Projected
DET 4.1 — SEA 4.9
Actual
DET 0 — SEA 4
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Bryce Miller R
SEA
FF45%97 mph13% whiff
FS19%86 mph27% whiff
SL15%88 mph48% whiff
Keider Montero R
DET
FF34%94 mph10% whiff
SI19%95 mph10% whiff
SL17%85 mph24% whiff
Weather Impact
Comerica Park
85°F14 mph wind
HR: 0.988 Total: 0.990
thin air, 11mph in
Bullpen Comparison
SEA
2.92ERA
3.48FIP
9.03K/9
3.23BB/9
1.28WHIP
DET
4.61ERA
4.44FIP
8.64K/9
4.36BB/9
1.41WHIP
Betting Edges
RUN_LINE HOME +1.5
-40.2% EV
-149
TOTAL OVER 9.0
-17.7% EV
-102
F5_ML HOME
-9.3% EV
+112
TOTAL UNDER 9.0
-7.4% EV
-120
F5 UNDER 4.5
+6.2% EV
-102
ML HOME
-6.1% EV
+114
First 5 Innings & NRFI
SEA F5
2.5 runs
48.5% win
DET F5
2.0 runs
35.5% win
F5 Total
4.6
NRFI
56.7%
YRFI
43.3%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.90
HR Spotlight
Avg HRs
2.3
Over 0.5 HR
89%
Over 1.5 HR
66%
No HR
11%
Colt Emerson SEA30.0%
ISO: 0.361 | Barrel: 18.8% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 0.97x Platoon: 1.12x
Luke Raley SEA30.0%
ISO: 0.307 | Barrel: 16.3% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 0.97x Platoon: 1.12x
Dominic Canzone SEA30.0%
ISO: 0.246 | Barrel: 13.3% | vs Keider Montero | Park: 0.97x Platoon: 1.12x
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
Bryce Miller
0.0 K projected
SEA | K/9: 0.0
Keider Montero
0.0 K projected
DET | K/9: 0.0
Injury Report
SEA8 injured
J.P. Crawford SSDAY-TO-DAY
Cal Raleigh C10-DAY-IL
Miles Mastrobuoni 3B60-DAY-IL
Brendan Donovan 3B10-DAY-IL
Teddy McGraw SPDAY-TO-DAY
Logan Evans SP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
DET8 injured
Trey Sweeney SS60-DAY-IL
Tarik Skubal SP15-DAY-IL
Kenley Jansen RP15-DAY-IL
Jackson Jobe SP60-DAY-IL
Javier Baez SS10-DAY-IL
Casey Mize SP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
NEUTRAL -1
This game already resolved: SEA won 4-0. Bryce Miller (SEA away) delivered elite 6 IP, 0 R, 1 H. Keider Montero (DET, 3.99 ERA) was roughed up. Model projection was SEA 56.4% away win on -133 ML (57.1% market implied) — match confirmed. Remove from today's analysis.
DATA INTEGRITY
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
SEA 56.4%
-40.2 pts
Run Line
+1.5
-40.2 pts
Total
9.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →