NYK vs PHI prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PHI 108.2 - NYK 110.2. NYK is favored with a 55.8% win probability. The spread is 14.5 and the total is 226.5.
PHI
108.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 226.5
NYK
110.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
PHINYK
+14.5
Spread (PHI)
226.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.6% (1,196 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
NYK
100110120
PHI
98108118
Projected
PHI 108.2 — NYK 110.2
Actual
PHI 114 — NYK 144
Model Projection
ATSSTRONG-110
PHI +14.5
+12.5%
Edge
82.4%
Win/Cover Prob
1.0u
Units
93
Quality
Possession model projects -2.0 margin vs line 14.5
Starting Lineups
NYK1 OUT
Jalen Brunson26.0PPG3.3RPG6.8APG
Mikal Bridges14.4PPG3.8RPG3.7APG
Karl-Anthony Towns20.1PPG11.9RPG3.0APG
Josh Hart12.0PPG7.4RPG4.8APG
Miles McBride12.0PPG2.4RPG2.6APG
PHIHealthy
Tyrese Maxey28.3PPG4.1RPG6.6APG
VJ Edgecombe16.0PPG5.6RPG4.2APG
Joel Embiid26.9PPG7.7RPG3.9APG
Kelly Oubre Jr.14.1PPG5.0RPG1.6APG
Paul George17.3PPG5.3RPG3.6APG
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
NYK 55.8%
+12.5 pts
Spread
+14.5
+12.5 pts
Total
226.5
-8.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →