NYK vs PHI prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PHI 108.2 - NYK 110.2. NYK is favored with a 55.8% win probability. The spread is 14.5 and the total is 226.5.
PHI
108.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 226.5
NYK
110.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
PHINYK
+14.5
Spread (PHI)
226.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
NYK L4PHI W4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.2% (1,191 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
NYK
100110120
PHI
98108118
Projected
PHI 108.2 — NYK 110.2
Actual
PHI 114 — NYK 144
Pick Results
Josh Hart UNDER 2.5 threesnba_player_threesLOSS-1.50u
VJ Edgecombe OVER 19.5 pranba_player_points_rebounds_assistsWIN+1.30u
Kelly Oubre Jr. OVER 0.5 assistsnba_player_assistsLOSS-1.50u
Model Projection
ATSSTRONG-110
PHI +14.5
+12.5%
Edge
82.4%
Win/Cover Prob
1.0u
Units
93
Quality
Possession model projects -2.0 margin vs line 14.5
Starting Lineups
NYK1 OUT
Jalen Brunson26.0PPG3.3RPG6.8APG
Mikal Bridges14.4PPG3.8RPG3.7APG
Karl-Anthony Towns20.1PPG11.9RPG3.0APG
Josh Hart12.0PPG7.4RPG4.8APG
Miles McBride12.0PPG2.4RPG2.6APG
PHIHealthy
Tyrese Maxey28.3PPG4.1RPG6.6APG
VJ Edgecombe16.0PPG5.6RPG4.2APG
Joel Embiid26.9PPG7.7RPG3.9APG
Kelly Oubre Jr.14.1PPG5.0RPG1.6APG
Paul George17.3PPG5.3RPG3.6APG
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
NYK 55.8%
+12.5 pts
Spread
+14.5
+12.5 pts
Total
226.5
-8.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →