Albania (W) vs Wales (W) prediction for April 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Wales (W) 1.62 - Albania (W) 1.36. Albania (W) is favored with a 52.3% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Wales (W)
1.62
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Albania (W)
1.36
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Wales (W)DrawAlbania (W)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.1% (1,051 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Albania (W)
0.61.42.1
Wales (W)
0.81.62.4
Expected Goals (xG)
Wales (W)1.58
Albania (W)1.33
17.6Shots14.9
6.4On Target5.3
5.8Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
81.2%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 2.5
49.0%
BTTS
51.4%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
Match Context
WCMedium
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Albania (W) 52.3%
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Total
3.0
+56.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →