Angers vs Brest prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Brest 1.62 - Angers 1.27. Brest is favored with a 50.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Brest
1.62
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Angers
1.27
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
BrestDrawAngers
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.1% (1,062 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Angers
0.51.32.0
Brest
0.81.62.4
Projected
Brest 1.62 — Angers 1.27
Actual
Brest 1 — Angers 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Brest1.59
Angers1.25
17.2Shots14.4
6.4On Target5.1
5.6Corners5.2
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.6%
Over 1.5
79.5%
Over 2.5
54.0%
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.0%
BTTS
51.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
Match Context
LIGMedium
Brest
1.88
Draw
3.77
Angers
4.29
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Brest 50.1%
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Total
2.9
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →