AS Roma vs Hellas Verona prediction for May 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Hellas Verona 0.99 - AS Roma 2.24. AS Roma is favored with a 65.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Hellas Verona
0.99
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
AS Roma
2.24
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Hellas VeronaDrawAS Roma
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 85.1% (1,081 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
AS Roma
1.52.23.0
Hellas Verona
0.21.01.8
Projected
Hellas Verona 0.99 — AS Roma 2.24
Actual
Hellas Verona 0 — AS Roma 2
Expected Goals (xG)
Hellas Verona0.98
AS Roma2.20
12.8Shots21.2
4.3On Target8.3
5.3Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
84.3%
Over 2.5
54.2%
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
45.8%
BTTS
50.7%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
10.0%
0-3
6.7%
Match Context
SERMedium
Hellas Verona
9.85
Draw
5.01
AS Roma
1.36
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
AS Roma 65.2%
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Total
3.2
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →